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How to evaluate a crypto signal provider

Updated 2026-08-28 · 894 signals tracked

• 60.7%Win rate
• 1.27Avg R
• 50TP2 hits
• 894Signals

The 5-point checklist

• Public, complete track record — every closed signal, winners and losers, never deleted. No screenshots-only.
• Risk defined per signal — a real entry, stop-loss and take-profit targets, so each call is testable.
• Real sample size — dozens or hundreds of closed signals, not a lucky week.
• Honest cost & incentives — beware affiliate-ranked "best of" lists and paid pump groups.
• No guarantees — anyone promising fixed returns on crypto is a red flag.

Red flags to walk away from

Deleted losing calls, "90%+ win rate" with no auditable history, pressure to pay upfront, and guaranteed-profit language are all signs to leave. In India especially, be wary of unregistered "advisors" — informational signals are fine, but personalised investment advice is regulated.

How Drishti Pro measures up

Drishti Pro publishes its full ledger (60.7% win rate, 1.27 avg R over 894 signals), defines every signal with entry/SL/TP1/TP2, and is free — see the track record. Compare approaches: AI signals vs Telegram groups.

Why sample size and confidence intervals matter

A provider showing 894 closed signals only tells you the count, not whether the result is real. Statistical significance needs a confidence interval too. Drishti Pro publishes a 60.7% win rate with a 95% confidence interval of 57.1% to 64.1%. That range matters more than the headline number. A wide interval means the sample is still noisy. A narrow one means the number is stable enough to lean on. Ask any provider for their confidence interval, not just their average. If they can't produce one, they haven't done the math, or a good week is hiding a small sample. Of the 894 total signals, 750 settled decisively, hitting a target or a stop outright rather than expiring unresolved.

Check directional bias before you trust the win rate

Any provider can look strong when the market trends one way for months. Split the win rate by direction before trusting it. Drishti Pro's long calls win 64.3% across 557 signals, and short calls win 50.3% across 193. That split tells you whether the edge holds both ways or only rode a trend. A lopsided split isn't automatically dishonest, but it's something worth knowing before a reversal tests it. Get the by-direction breakdown before deciding the blended number means anything.

Read the R multiple, not just the win rate

Win rate alone tells you nothing without knowing what a win pays and a loss costs. Every Drishti Pro signal is clamped to a reward-to-risk band of 1.0 to 1.5 before it publishes. The ledger's average R sits at 1.27, and 50 of decisive signals reach the second target. A high win rate at a low R can still lose money over time. A lower win rate at a high R can still come out ahead. Ask any provider for their average R, not their headline percentage. Then check whether the reward-to-risk ratio is fixed before entry or adjusted after the fact.

How to verify a track record yourself

Don't take a published number on faith. Check it yourself. The methodology page explains exactly how each signal's entry, stop, and targets get set, and how outcomes are graded once a signal closes. The full ledger is downloadable at the data page under a CC BY 4.0 license. Recompute 60.7%, 1.27, or the confidence interval yourself, instead of trusting a screenshot. If you're comparing Drishti Pro against another provider or a plain buy-and-hold baseline, the win-rate benchmark page sets out what a fair comparison actually needs.

• A confidence interval on the win rate, not just the average.
• A win rate split by long calls and short calls.
• Average R and the second-target hit rate, not just a wins-versus-losses count.
• Raw, timestamped data you can download and recompute yourself.

The India tax angle

Following signals in India doesn't happen in a tax vacuum. Gains from virtual digital assets are taxed at a flat 30% under section 115BBH, plus cess, with no set-off against losses and no carry-forward to next year. A losing month never offsets a winning one on your return. A 1% TDS under section 194S applies on top of that. This tax load changes the math on any provider's edge. The system needs a real edge before tax, because there's no relief after a bad month to fall back on. Gains get reported under Schedule VDA in the ITR, and only an FIU-IND registered exchange meets India's compliance requirement. The Varsity course walks through the filing mechanics in more detail.

What no signal provider can do

Be honest about limits, including Drishti Pro's own. No system calls every move correctly. 295 of the 894 closed signals hit their stop, and that isn't a bad week, it's the ordinary cost of running a real edge. The signal universe is fixed at 11 assets, so nothing here calls moves on tokens outside that list. A signal is not an order, and nothing here executes a trade or sizes your position for you. A well-documented past doesn't guarantee the next batch of signals behaves the same way, especially once the market regime shifts. No risk-defined signal replaces your own risk management. Position size and leverage stay decisions only you can make.

The bottom line

A win rate is a starting point, not a verdict. Check the confidence interval, the directional split, and the R multiple before trusting any number, including this one. Then size the trade against your own risk, not someone else's marketing copy.

See Drishti Pro's live signals Get the app

Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.