AAVEUSD long — 26 Jul 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 97.8656 and hit its target at 101.3 after 8.6 hours, closing at +3.51%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-26 15:18 |
| Entry | 97.8656 |
| Stop-loss | 95.4 |
| Take-profit 1 | 99.9262 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 101.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.39 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 101.3 |
| Realized P&L | +3.51% |
| Time open | 8.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bullish 4/4, ADX_1h 38.2 rising (+4.3 slope), Hurst 0.58 persistent, choppiness 29.8 (trending), HMM calm — a clean, strengthening uptrend up. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence is one-sided bullish — trend, momentum and OI all point long; take the long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: full MTF bull stack with strong/rising ADX plus OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.86, agg_oi +7%) and top-trader pos ratio 1.46 long confirms conviction behind the +6.3% 24h thrust — trend-aligned continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 81.9 and 15m 72 are deeply overbought and taker_buy_sell 1h dipped to 0.86, so a mean-reversion pullback that breaks the recent swing structure would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 97.87; stop 95.40 below the intraday consolidation shelf (~2.5% risk, beyond overbought-unwind noise); TP1 stretch 101.30 at prior extension (~3.5% / ~1.4R), reachable given avg_move_24h 2.4% and p90 daily range 7.7%. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought RSI caps follow-through odds but trend strength is real; p_tp1 44, p_sl 34, p_expire 22.
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