AAVEUSD long — 17 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 87.9842 and hit its target at 89.1157 after 10.4 hours, closing at +1.29%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-17 14:58 |
| Entry | 87.9842 |
| Stop-loss | 86.62 |
| Take-profit 1 | 89.1157 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 89.87 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.38 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 89.1157 |
| Realized P&L | +1.29% |
| Time open | 10.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed 2/4 — 5m/15m bull EMA-stacked but 1h mixed and 4h bear-aligned; 1h ADX 14.4 falling (slope -0.31), adx_20 14.2, choppiness 47, ER-10 0.32 / ER-30 0.22 (noisy), Hurst 0.31 (mean-revert), HMM calm — this is chop with a fresh short-term upward push. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly long — near-term momentum is up (net +1.58% 4h, +1.52% 24h), OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.18, agg OI +0.82%) and top-trader pos ratio 1.31 net long; the caveat is 4h EMA still bear and RSI overbought on 5m/15m. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh OI-backed upward thrust — accelerating_up OI with a big oi_5m_z spike plus positive 4h net move and top-traders leaning long confirms buyers are pressing; price is only -1.7% from 5d high, so room to extend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI 77/71 overbought into a 4h bear stack — a rejection here fails the breakout and rolls back into chop, the exact pattern that burned prior long attempts in this same regime. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent consolidation / structural invalidation at 86.62 (~1.55% risk, within rv_24h range); stretch target 89.87 (~2.14% reward, R:R ~1.38x, inside clamps) toward the 5d high overhang. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with a live-but-overbought push — modest edge, meaningful expire probability.
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