AAVEUSD long — 19 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 91.375 and hit its target at 92.89 after 9 minutes, closing at +1.66%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-19 14:57 |
| Entry | 91.375 |
| Stop-loss | 89.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 92.89 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 93.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.38 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 92.89 |
| Realized P&L | +1.66% |
| Time open | 9 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 alignment (5m/15m/1h bull EMA-stacked, 4h mixed but RSI 66), 1h ADX 23.5 rising (slope +4.8), choppiness 27.7 (strongly trending), ER-10 0.74 clean but ER-30 0.22 (noisy longer-run), Hurst 0.32 mean-revert, HMM calm — a genuine near-term bull impulse inside a broader mean-reverting base. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — fresh momentum (+3.50% 4h, +4.56% 12h), OI accelerating_up with oi_15m_z +3.60, top-traders long (pos 1.25, acct 1.51), taker 1.36 all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow/OI cluster is strongest — OI accelerating_up on a +3.5% 4h push with top-trader long lean and buy-side taker flow, trend-aligned with the bull EMA stack across 5m/15m/1h. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is extreme (84 5m, 78 15m, 72 1h) and price sits at 5d high (dist +0.00) with rolling z +2.51 — an overbought stall/reversal at resistance would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the reclaim shelf at 89.55 (~2.0% risk, just under 1x the ~3.3% 7d daily range); stretch target 93.90 (~2.76% up, R:R ~1.36) toward the 20d-high extension, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought at resistance caps follow-through, meaningful expire risk over 24h with mean-revert Hurst.
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