AAVEUSD long — 20 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 98.1426 and hit its target at 100.187 after 13.4 hours, closing at +2.08%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-20 11:56 |
| Entry | 98.1426 |
| Stop-loss | 95.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 100.187 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 101.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.31 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 100.187 |
| Realized P&L | +2.08% |
| Time open | 13.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 with 5m/15m/1h bull EMA-stacked (4h mixed), 1h ADX 59.3 rising (slope +2.9), choppiness 49.8 (transitional), ER-30 0.52 moderately clean, Hurst 0.55 mildly trending, HMM calm — a strong fresh bull impulse (+10% 24h) but now stretched. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — trend, OI (accelerating_up, oi_15m_z +1.92), taker 1.45 and top-trader account ratio 1.65 all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI/flow cluster + trend alignment — accelerating OI with buy-side taker pressure inside a stacked bull structure, price pinned just under the 5d/20d/90d high (-0.386%), a breakout continuation setup. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is severely extended — rolling z +3.61, RV at 99th pctile, 1h RSI 71 / 4h RSI 80 overbought, top-trader pos ratio ticking down (4h chg -0.04) — a sharp mean-reverting fade would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 98.14, stop below the recent 12h base / prior impulse shelf at 95.55 (dist ~2.64%, ~1.3x avg 24h traversal, within the high-RV range); stretch TP at 101.55 (dist ~3.47%, R:R ~1.3), a clean push through the 90d high into fresh territory, inside 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: extension caps upside probability despite momentum.
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