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AAVEUSD long — 24 Aug 2026 (stopped out)

This long on AAVEUSD entered at 137.03 and stopped out at 133.2 after 6.9 hours, closing at -2.79%.

AssetAAVEUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-08-24 10:39
Entry137.03
Stop-loss133.2
Take-profit 1139.952
Take-profit 2 (stretch)141.9
Reward:risk at entry1.27
Outcomestopped out
Close price133.2
Realized P&L-2.79%
Time open6.9 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA stacks bull_aligned (4h ADX 52, 1h ADX 33.6) but 5m/15m bear/mixed → alignment 0/4, adx_1h_slope negative (-4.78, fading), choppiness 65 and ER-10 0.20 (path netting nowhere), HMM volatile 0.995 — a +8.3% 24h impulse now stalling with net_move_4h -3.4%. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long — the higher-timeframe trend is intact and top-traders are heavily long, but the near-term pullback is real; still, no coherent short thesis exists in a bull-aligned 4h/1h with greed sentiment. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: top_trader_pos_ratio 1.69 (rising +0.11 over 4h), agg_oi +11.4%, funding still positive z +1.2 — smart money is adding longs into the 4h uptrend; this is trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the -5.3% recent-half OI unwind + accelerating_down oi_momentum + negative ADX slope say the impulse is exhausting; a break below the 4h EMA / recent-half lows invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 137.03; stop below the pullback low structure at 133.20 (~2.8% risk, inside 24h RV of ~6.5% traversal); stretch TP at 141.90 (~3.55% / 1.27x risk), a reachable push back toward the 5d high (-4.78% off = ~143.9). 6. EXPECTATION: choppy stalling tape with trend support — modest edge, meaningful expire risk.

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