AAVEUSD long — 27 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 128.4839 and hit its target at 131.3436 after 10.8 hours, closing at +2.23%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-27 14:38 |
| Entry | 128.4839 |
| Stop-loss | 124.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 131.3436 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 133.25 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.31 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 131.3436 |
| Realized P&L | +2.23% |
| Time open | 10.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/5m EMA bull_aligned but 1h/15m mixed → alignment 2/4, mtf mixed/transitional; 1h ADX 18.3 with negative slope (-2.3, fading), choppiness 51.5 (mid), ER-10/30 0.36/0.09 (path netting little), HMM calm 0.999 — a mildly bull-leaning structure in low-conviction chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — HTF EMA bias bullish, fresh upside momentum (net_move_4h +2.05%, 24h +4.87%), taker ratio 1.10, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.30); no clean short catalyst. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is momentum+flow — positive 4h/12h/24h net moves with taker buy pressure and 4h/5m EMA bull stack, riding the fresh up-leg off the 5d-low (+6% off low). 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI momentum is accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -0.24, recent-half OI -1.16%) — an up-move on falling OI is short-covering that can stall; a break back below ~125.5 kills the thesis. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent intraday shelf at 124.85 (~2.8% risk, within the ~7% 24h range); stretch target 133.25 at the prior 1h resistance, ~3.7% up, R:R ~1.3. 6. EXPECTATION: chop-with-lean base rate keeps p_expire meaningful.
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