AAVEUSD long — 27 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 130.22 and stopped out at 127.1 after 2 hours, closing at -2.40%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-27 08:23 |
| Entry | 130.22 |
| Stop-loss | 127.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 132.488 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 134 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 127.1 |
| Realized P&L | -2.40% |
| Time open | 2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h EMA bull_aligned, 5m bull_aligned, 1h/15m mixed → alignment 2/4, mtf mixed/transitional; 1h ADX 23.4 with negative slope (-3.4, fading), choppiness 42.5 (mid-low), ER-10 0.42 / ER-30 0.09, HMM calm 0.999 — a bull structure with fresh upside momentum. 2. LEAN CHECK: LONG — recent momentum is clearly up (net_move_4h +4.65%, net_move_12h +5.10%, net_move_24h +3.18%), OI accelerating up (oi_5m_z +2.29, agg_oi +3.31%), taker ratio 1.42 buy-heavy. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster is the strongest — OI accelerating_up alongside a buy-skewed taker tape (1.42, latest hourly buckets 1.28/1.42) and top-trader position ratio 2.24 (rising +0.057 over 4h) means fresh longs adding into a rising price, trend-aligned with the 4h bull stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI 74-76 overbought and 1h ADX fading — an exhaustion rollover that reverses the 4h momentum would invalidate; a break back below ~127 kills the thesis. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 127.10 (below the intraday reclaim shelf and beyond the overbought-unwind zone, ~2.4% risk, within the ~7.5% 24h traversal); take_profit_1 134.00 stretch toward the 5d-high retest area, ~2.9% up, R:R ~1.2. 6. EXPECTATION: buy flow favors continuation but overbought conditions raise reversal odds — p_tp1 44, p_sl 34, p_expire 22.
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