AAVEUSD long — 28 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 125.95 and stopped out at 122.6 after 13.1 hours, closing at -2.66%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-28 02:53 |
| Entry | 125.95 |
| Stop-loss | 122.6 |
| Take-profit 1 | 128.32 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 129.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 122.6 |
| Realized P&L | -2.66% |
| Time open | 13.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h/15m EMA bull_aligned but 5m mixed → alignment 2/4, mtf mixed/transitional; 1h ADX 17.5 (below trend threshold) with mildly positive slope (+0.87), choppiness 55.8 (mid), ER-10/30 0.41/0.08 (path netting little over the longer window), HMM calm 0.999 — a bull-stacked HTF structure chopping in low-conviction drift. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — HTF EMA stack bullish, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.27, account ratio 1.54), OI momentum accelerating_up with recent-half OI +2.83%; the counter is fresh downside momentum (net_move_4h -2.01%, -12h -2.03%) and taker ratio 0.875 (sell lean). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend + positioning — 3 of 4 TFs bull-aligned and top-traders leaning heavily long while OI builds; price sits +3.8% off 5d low and RSI oversold on 5m (29) / 1h at 43, favoring a bounce within the bull structure. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the -2% 4h/12h fade continuing with sell-side takers would break below the 5d-low proximity and invalidate the reclaim. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 125.95; stop below the intraday swing / fade extension at 122.60 (~2.66% risk, within the ~7.4% 24h traversal and ~9.6% 7d range); stretch TP at 129.90 (~3.14% reward, R:R ~1.18x, inside 1.5x/4% clamps), a structural retrace toward recent resistance. 6. EXPECTATION: honest distribution below.
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