AAVEUSD long — 2 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 131.8221 and stopped out at 128.55 after 48 minutes, closing at -2.48%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-02 08:03 |
| Entry | 131.8221 |
| Stop-loss | 128.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 134.2388 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 135.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 128.55 |
| Realized P&L | -2.48% |
| Time open | 48 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF (4/4 EMA bull-stacked across 5m/15m/1h/4h), 1h ADX 26.4 rising (+4.1 slope), choppiness 37.3 (edge of trending), but ER-30 0.24 and Hurst 0.38 (longer path mean-reverting) — a genuine bull trend on the HTF with the usual AAVE caveat that follow-through nets nowhere over longer windows. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG — +3.6% 24h, net_move +4.6% 12h, top-trader position ratio 2.01 (strong long tilt), OI accelerating_up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full bullish EMA stack + rising ADX + OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.94, agg_oi +14%) with top-traders 2:1 long is the confluence AAVE longs have paid on in this asset's track record. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker_buy_sell_ratio 0.82 (sellers dominant last 1h) and net_move_4h slightly negative (-0.33%) signal near-term selling into strength; RV at 96th pctile means a sharp mean-revert could hit stop fast. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 131.82, stop below the recent 4h consolidation shelf at 128.55 (~2.48% risk, ~0.9x rv/atr band), stretch TP at 135.85 (~3.06% / ~1.23x risk) toward the 5d high region (-1.7% away). 6. EXPECTATION: p_tp1 44, p_sl 40, p_expire 16 — strong trend but heavy RV, weak taker flow, and this asset's 59% wr with recent SL-hits temper the edge.
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