AAVEUSD long — 6 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 137.4212 and stopped out at 134.1 after 2.1 hours, closing at -2.42%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-06 02:16 |
| Entry | 137.4212 |
| Stop-loss | 134.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 139.5985 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 141.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 134.1 |
| Realized P&L | -2.42% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF (4/4 EMA bull-stacked 5m/15m/1h/4h), 1h ADX 33.8 rising (+7.0 slope), 4h ADX 35.2 strong, choppiness 34.3 (trending), ER-10 0.49 decent but ER-30 0.35 / Hurst 0.41 (longer path mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a genuine bull impulse on a bull-stacked HTF with AAVE's usual net-nowhere longer-window caveat. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG — +5.5% 24h, net_move +1.66% 4h / +5.0% 12h, at 5d/20d/90d high (-1.08%). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow+OI — agg OI +10.6% 24h, Binance OI z +2.3, oi_momentum accelerating_up, top-trader pos ratio 2.31 heavily long with positive delta — fresh money building longs into a bull-stacked trend at highs, trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rsi 4h 70.1 overbought + z-score +2.49 stretched + taker ratio 0.89 (recent selling) — an exhaustion reversal from overbought highs would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the intraday reclaim shelf at 134.10 (~2.4% risk, within ~74% rv_24h daily range), stretch target at 141.05 (~1.32x risk, R:R ~1.3) toward continuation above the 90d high, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: bull trend with taker/overbought drag and AAVE mean-reversion tendency.
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