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AAVEUSD long — 18 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 140.78 and hit its target at 143.522 after 10.9 hours, closing at +1.95%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-18 13:42 |
| Entry | 140.78 |
| Stop-loss | 136.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 143.522 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 145.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 143.522 |
| Realized P&L | +1.95% |
| Time open | 10.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 49.5 rising (+0.75 slope), ADX-20 38.1, ER-10 0.59 / choppiness 31.7 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.53, HMM calm 0.999 — a firm one-way bull leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG — net_move_4h +4.02% / 12h +7.29% / 24h +12.49%, pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs, OI accelerating_up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow confluence — top_trader_pos_ratio 2.58, oi_5m_z +2.57 / 15m_z +2.95 accelerating_up, agg_oi +12.5%, taker 1.03, funding_z +1.01 rising — real money adding into a full-stack bull trend that AAVE's 30d WR (64.8%) rewards. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across every TF (79/79/81/76) and rolling_z +3.99 flag exhaustion — a fast mean-reversion flush back through the breakout would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 140.78; stop 136.35 below the recent breakout shelf (~3.15%, ~0.9x the 24h range given RV pctile 100); TP 145.35 stretch (~3.25%, R:R ~1.03) at extension of the up-leg, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but stretched into overbought, so meaningful pullback risk.
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