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AAVEUSD long — 23 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 151.57 and stopped out at 147.1 after 4.5 hours, closing at -2.95%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-23 07:08 |
| Entry | 151.57 |
| Stop-loss | 147.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 154.348 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 156.2 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.04 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 147.1 |
| Realized P&L | -2.95% |
| Time open | 4.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF (4/4), 1h ADX 29.9 rising sharply (+5.78 slope), 4h ADX 40.7 with RSI 69.3, choppiness 44.5, Hurst 0.59, HMM calm 0.999 — a genuine, freshly-accelerating bull trend pressing right at the 5d/20d/90d high (-1.86%). 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG — trend, OI flow and positioning all point up; only caution is RV at 99.5th pctile and z-score +1.83 (extended). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + OI-flow confluence — accelerating_up OI (oi_15m_z +3.12, oi_5m_z +1.82, agg_oi +5.16%, oi_change +8.17%), top-trader pos ratio 2.21 heavily long, taker 1.16 buy-skew, funding building (z +1.12, momentum +1.85) all reinforce the 4/4 bull stack pushing new highs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is stretched (z +1.83, RV 99.5th pctile, 4h RSI 69) right at resistance — a rejection at the 5d high stalling momentum flips this to a fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 151.57; stop below recent structure at 147.10 (~2.95% risk, ~1x atr_pct 4h span, beyond invalidation); stretch TP at 156.20 (~3.05% / ~1.03x risk), a clean push through the 5d high, within clamps and 24h reach. 6. EXPECTATION: trend confluence favors long but extension caps upside odds.
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