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AAVEUSD long — 25 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 146.41 and hit its target at 149.104 after 11.1 hours, closing at +1.84%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-25 00:38 |
| Entry | 146.41 |
| Stop-loss | 142.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 149.104 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 150.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.11 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 149.104 |
| Realized P&L | +1.84% |
| Time open | 11.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Clean bull_trend — full_bullish MTF 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull-aligned), 1h ADX 29.9 rising (slope +0.85), choppiness 41.7 (leaning trend), Hurst 0.57, HMM calm 1.0 — a genuine uptrend not just chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG — HTF trend, flow, and positioning all point up. 3. THESIS: strongest cluster is flow+OI: OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +2.55, oi_5m_z +2.11), agg OI +7.1% 24h, taker ratio 1.30 with the last two hours at 1.40/1.30, top-trader position ratio 2.39 heavily long — real capital pushing into a trend-aligned +6.1% 24h move; this asset's own base rate is 59.8% wr over n=111. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RV at 100th pctile and price z +1.05 / -4.96% from 5d high suggests exhaustion risk — a rejection back under ~143 (the 4h EMA reclaim zone) invalidates. 5. LEVELS: entry 146.41; stop 142.35 just below the recent higher-low structure (~2.77% / ~0.9x the 4.94% 24h traversal); TP1 stretch 150.90 at the 5d-high retest (~3.07%, R:R ~1.1, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: trend + flow favor upside but stretched RV and prior SL losses in this regime cap it.
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