Home › Signals › September 2026 › AAVEUSD
AAVEUSD long — 30 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 162.67 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 159.22 with a price move of -2.12%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| Entry | 162.67 |
| Stop-loss | 156.4 |
| Take-profit 1 | 166.5741 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 169.1768 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.04 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 159.22 |
| Realized P&L | -2.12% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Mature bull with near-term downdraft — 1h/4h EMA bull-aligned but 5m bear/15m mixed (MTF 0/4), 1h ADX 32.4 but slope fading (-4.3), choppiness 46 (neutral), ER-10 0.82 (clean recent leg) yet ER-30 0.23 (nets nowhere over 30h), net +9.5% 24h but -6.35% 12h and -2.07% 4h, RV at 97th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided near-term but I lean LONG — the higher-TF trend (1h+4h bull), heavy top-trader positioning (pos ratio 2.10, account 1.85) and elevated OI (+34.6% 24h) favor the up-side, and this asset's track record longs the trend well (62% wr, all 5 recent same-regime longs won). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend + top-trader positioning — 4h RSI 59 with room, price sitting +19% off 20d low and only -6.7% from 90d high, 5m RSI 22 oversold suggesting the pullback is exhausting into a buyable dip within an intact uptrend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: oi_momentum accelerating_down with oi_change_recent_half -2.4% signals longs unwinding — if the 12h -6.35% slide continues and price loses the recent swing structure, the bull leg is over. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 162.67; stop below the near-term swing/invalidation at 156.40 (~3.86% risk, ~0.6x the 149% RV / within range); stretch TP at 170.35 (~4.72% → clamped to 4%/1.5x, R:R ~1.2) — an honest structural push back toward the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: given high vol and a mixed near-term tape, tp1 slightly favored on trend-alignment but real drawdown risk.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.