Home › Signals › October 2026 › AAVEUSD
AAVEUSD long — 8 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 166.14 and stopped out at 161.6 after 1.7 hours, closing at -2.73%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-08 15:35 |
| Entry | 166.14 |
| Stop-loss | 161.6 |
| Take-profit 1 | 169.536 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 171.8 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 161.6 |
| Realized P&L | -2.73% |
| Time open | 1.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Transitional pullback within an HTF uptrend — 4h EMA still bull_aligned (ADX 26.8, RSI 32) but 1h/15m/5m all bear_aligned, alignment 2/4, 1h ADX 20.3 with slope +1.23 (down-trend building on short TFs), choppiness 43 (neutral), ER-10 0.36 / ER-30 0.24 (noisy), Hurst 0.51, HMM calm 0.9999 — a bull structure getting flushed, down -3.3% net 24h, sitting at the 5d low. 2. LEAN CHECK: Two-sided but I lean LONG — short TFs are deeply oversold (RSI 31-33 across 5m/15m/1h) sitting precisely at the 5d_low (+0.00%) with heavy top-trader long conviction (pos ratio 2.11, account ratio 1.64) and 1h taker buy/sell 1.48; the AAVE long track record (63.5% wr) and recent same-regime longs favor the oversold-bounce fade. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF 4h bull stack intact plus top-traders heavily long into an oversold flush at a hard 5d-low support — the dominant edge is a mean-reversion bounce off that level with buyers already stepping in (taker 1.48). 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI momentum is accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -3.27, agg_oi -12%) — if the deleveraging continues and price breaks the 5d low with volume, the floor fails and this becomes a fresh bear leg. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 166.14; stop_loss 161.60 below the 5d-low shelf (invalidation = clean break of support), ~2.73% risk, within the ~5.5% 7d daily range; take_profit_1 at 171.80 (~3.4% / ~1.25x stop distance) targeting the prior intraday balance / reclaim level, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold bounce at support is real but the OI unwind caps odds — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.