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AAVEUSD long — 1 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 139.33 and stopped out at 135.1 after 13.2 hours, closing at -3.04%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-01 05:12 |
| Entry | 139.33 |
| Stop-loss | 135.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 142.672 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 144.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 135.1 |
| Realized P&L | -3.04% |
| Time open | 13.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bull_aligned, 1h mixed overbought RSI 75, 4h bear_aligned), ADX_1h 38.2 slope +5.6 (trend strengthening), choppiness 34.8 (<38 trending), ER-10 0.65 clean short-run / ER-30 0.43, Hurst 0.40 mean-reverting, HMM calm 0.999 — a transitional tape with a fresh, strong up-impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: LONG lean — +7.9% 24h, net_move +3.76% 4h, price pinned at 5d_high (+0.000), OI +7.8% confirming, top-traders long 1.58. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow+breakout — fresh breakout to 5d high with OI_5m_z +3.2 (OI loading into the move) and top_trader_pos_ratio 1.58 long; momentum (net_move 4h +3.76%) aligns with 5m/15m bull stacks and rising ADX. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 75.2 + 15m RSI 72 overbought, 4h stack still bear_aligned, top_trader ratio fading (4h chg -0.147, OI decelerating), taker 0.91 (sellers hitting) — a sharp overbought reversal at the high invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 139.33; stop below the breakout shelf / recent consolidation at 135.10 (~3.0% ≈ 0.5x the ~6% daily range, beyond the overbought-reversal invalidation); stretch TP 144.90 (~4.0% ≈ 1.3x stop distance, reachable given avg_24h move 3.6% on a trend day, just inside 4% clamp). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum real but overbought at the high caps upside — p_tp1 42, p_sl 37, p_expire 21.
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