AAVEUSD short — 14 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 86.7249 and hit its target at 85.9 after 2.6 hours, closing at +0.95%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-14 09:58 |
| Entry | 86.7249 |
| Stop-loss | 88.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 85.9 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 85.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.04 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 85.9 |
| Realized P&L | +0.95% |
| Time open | 2.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF 4/4, all TFs bear EMA-stacked, 1h ADX 27 rising (slope +3.8), choppiness 47, Hurst 0.38 (mean-revert), HMM calm — a genuine, strengthening bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly short — trend, momentum (net -1.51% 4h, -2.75% 24h) and OI (accelerating_down, oi_15m_z -1.28, agg OI -1.7%) all point down; the only caveat is deep oversold (rolling_z -2.27, RSI 5m 33). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+flow confluence — full_bearish alignment with rising ADX and accelerating_down OI (positions being cut into the decline), reinforced by prior AAVE shorts in this exact regime winning; price sits at 5d/20d/90d low (+0.24%), a downtrend probing fresh lows. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deep oversold z-score (-2.27) plus positive taker (1.14) and top-trader longs (pos ratio 1.42) could spark a reflex bounce that reclaims the broken low. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the 4h structure / recent swing at 88.05 (~1.53% risk, within realized range); TP at 85.35 stretch (~1.58% reward, R:R ~1.03) targeting a continuation break below the round low. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but oversold-caveated bear continuation.
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