AAVEUSD short — 31 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 124.83 and hit its target at 122.532 after 2.6 hours, closing at +1.84%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-31 14:53 |
| Entry | 124.83 |
| Stop-loss | 128.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 122.532 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 121 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.17 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 122.532 |
| Realized P&L | +1.84% |
| Time open | 2.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: alignment 0/4 with 1h/15m bear_aligned but 4h bull_aligned, 1h ADX 19.98 fading (-2.78 slope), choppiness 59 (near range-bound), ER-30 0.02 (nets nowhere), Hurst 0.50, HMM calm — a low-conviction chop with a soft bearish near-term tilt inside a bull-stacked 4h. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest SHORT — 1h/15m EMA bear-aligned, taker ratio 0.92 (sellers), agg OI -3.25% / Delta OI -5.5% (positions leaving on a down-move), price -1.24% 24h and z-score -0.55 below 20d mean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/structure — near-term EMA stack is bearish, sustained sub-1.0 taker buy/sell ratios through the day, and shrinking OI on a soft decline, but the near-term net_move_4h is actually +0.63% so this is a thin lean, not a clean trend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h EMA still bull_aligned and top_trader_pos_ratio 1.85 (heavily long) — a reclaim above the 5d-high proximity zone would flip this back up. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 124.83; stop above recent swing / 5d-high magnet at 128.10 (~2.6% risk, within the ~4-6% daily range); target down at 121.00 structural support (~3.07% reward), R:R ~1.17, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime with soft bearish lean, base rate ~55%.
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