Home › Signals › October 2026 › AAVEUSD
AAVEUSD short — 22 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 150.5677 and hit its target at 148.0671 after 5.7 hours, closing at +1.66%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-22 02:54 |
| Entry | 150.5677 |
| Stop-loss | 154.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 148.0671 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 146.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 148.0671 |
| Realized P&L | +1.66% |
| Time open | 5.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Calm transitional tape with a fresh down impulse — 5m/4h EMA bear_aligned, 15m/1h mixed, alignment 2/4; ADX_1h 21.7 slope -0.32 (weak trend, barely fading), choppiness 37.8 (edging into trending), ER-10 0.72 clean but ER-30 0.12 noisy, Hurst 0.41 mild mean-revert, HMM calm 0.9999. 2. LEAN CHECK: Two competing reads — persistent downside momentum (net -3.45% 4h, -4.19% 12h, -3.51% 24h) plus accelerating_down OI (oi_5m_z -2.80, oi_15m_z -3.26) argue short, while deeply negative funding (agg_z -2.09, binance funding_z -1.42), oversold RSI (5m 21, 15m 22), fresh taker buying (1h ratio 0.66... actually sell-skewed), and heavy top-trader long skew (pos ratio 2.22) argue a bounce. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: The momentum+OI cluster dominates — price just made a 4h/12h/24h net decline with OI accelerating down (shorts/longs exiting into weakness), 4h EMA bear_aligned, and sitting -5.3% below 5d high; this is a trend-aligned short with the HTF bear structure. The oversold/long-skew bounce case lacks a reclaim — no bullish EMA flip, RSI still bleeding. 4. PRE-MORTEM: Deeply negative funding + oversold RSI + top-trader long skew is classic short-squeeze fuel; a reclaim of ~153.5 with momentum would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: Entry 150.57; stop above the invalidation at 154.10 (~2.35% ≈ 0.85x of the ~2.77% typical 24h move, structurally beyond the recent swing), target 146.40 (~2.77% below, R:R ~1.18, at the next structural support zone near the 5d-low approach), inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favored but squeeze risk real and funding deeply negative, so a measured distribution.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.