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AAVEUSD short — 23 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 144.88 and hit its target at 142.732 after 22 minutes, closing at +1.48%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-23 22:39 |
| Entry | 144.88 |
| Stop-loss | 148.3 |
| Take-profit 1 | 142.732 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 141.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 142.732 |
| Realized P&L | +1.48% |
| Time open | 22 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Bear trend — mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (all TFs bear_aligned), ADX_1h 24.2 slope +4.0 (genuine trend strengthening), choppiness 54.7 neutral, ER-10 0.46 semi-directional, Hurst 0.44 near-random, HMM calm 0.9999. 2. LEAN CHECK: Short lean — EMA stack bear across all 4 TFs, fresh down impulse (net -1.92% 4h, -2.07% 12h), OI bleeding (-1.82% 24h, oi_5m_z -3.96, oi_15m_z -2.81, decelerating), latest taker ratio 0.474 heavily sell-skewed, at 5d/20d/90d lows (dist_from_extrema 0.000). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: Trend-aligned short — full_bearish MTF with strengthening ADX slope and fresh down impulse, confirmed by bearish taker flow and bleeding OI; AAVE sits at its 5d/20d/90d low making continuation the path of least resistance. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (5m 26.7, 15m 31.5, 1h 33.4) and z-score -1.96 — a relief bounce / short-cover reclaim of ~148 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: Entry 144.88; stop beyond recent structure at 148.30 (dist ~2.36%, within ~0.5x 24h rv/atr); target 141.30 as stretch down toward fresh lows (dist ~2.47%, RR ~1.05, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: trend intact but deeply oversold caps near-term follow-through.
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