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AAVEUSD short — 28 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 132.36 and stopped out at 135.1 after 5.9 hours, closing at -2.07%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-28 12:42 |
| Entry | 132.36 |
| Stop-loss | 135.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 130.584 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 129.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 135.1 |
| Realized P&L | -2.07% |
| Time open | 5.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Bear-trend undertone with chop — 1h/4h EMA bear_aligned, mtf mixed 2/4, ADX_1h 28.99 slope -1.35 (genuine but fading), choppiness 51.6 neutral, ER-10 0.45 / ER-30 0.06 (nets nowhere), Hurst 0.49 random, HMM calm 0.9999. 2. LEAN CHECK: Modest SHORT lean — fresh down impulse net -2.07% 4h, 1h/4h bear-aligned, price -16.6% off 20d high and sitting near 5d low; but 5m/15m RSI oversold (26/31) and OI accelerating_up cautions against overcommitment. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: Trend-aligned short — higher-TF EMA stack bearish, latest 4h momentum sharply negative, taker 1h 0.95 (sellers), agg funding deeply negative (z -1.59) consistent with a still-pressured tape; trend is the strongest cluster. 4. PRE-MORTEM: Oversold 5m RSI 26 + OI accelerating_up + top-trader pos ratio 2.55 long could spark a reclaim bounce back above ~134 that invalidates the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: Entry 132.36; stop above the local structure/invalidation at 135.10 (~2.07% — near atr/rv scale); stretch target 129.40 (~2.24% down, R:R ~1.08, inside clamps) at the 5d-low zone reachable in 24h. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold conditions and chop temper directional follow-through.
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