BNBUSD long — 26 Jul 2026 (expired)
This long on BNBUSD entered at 572.59 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 574.87 with a price move of +0.40%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | BNBUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-26 07:03 |
| Entry | 572.59 |
| Stop-loss | 566.8 |
| Take-profit 1 | 577.801 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 581.275 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 574.87 |
| Realized P&L | +0.40% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF is mixed (2/4) — 5m/15m bull-aligned, 1h EMA mixed with RSI 70.6 overbought, but 4h EMA still bear_aligned; 1h ADX 32 rising (+5.1) yet 4h ADX only 15.8, choppiness 46, Hurst 0.32 (mean-reverting) — a short-term bounce inside an unresolved/transitional higher-TF regime. 2. LEAN CHECK: short-term momentum and flow lean long, but 1h RSI is overbought (70.6), OI z-scores are extreme (+1.86/+2.11) with decelerating momentum, and Hurst 0.32 warns of mean-reversion into a fresh long — a modest long lean with reclaim risk, so a thin long is preferable to no_trade. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: net_move positive across 4h/12h/24h (+0.30/+0.60/+1.32%), taker ratio 1.12 with a bullish hourly drift, top-trader position ratio 1.69 long-tilted, agg OI +0.63% with mildly positive funding — buyers building into a short-term bull push. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 70.6 overbought + decelerating OI + Hurst 0.32 means the bounce stalls and reverts to the 4h bear stack, failing back below the recent breakout. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 572.59; stop below the reclaimed intraday shelf / near 5d-low buffer at 566.8 (~1.0% risk, beyond the invalidation); TP1 stretch at 581.5 (~1.55% / ~1.5x risk) toward the 5d-high zone (-1.24% overhead), reachable within 24h given avg_move_24h 0.66% and elevated 1h ADX. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought RSI and low-vol percentile cap upside follow-through, so meaningful expire probability.
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