BNBUSD long — 30 Jul 2026 (expired)
This long on BNBUSD entered at 592.29 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 586.46 with a price move of -0.98%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | BNBUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-30 16:21 |
| Entry | 592.29 |
| Stop-loss | 581.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 600.816 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 606.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 586.46 |
| Realized P&L | -0.98% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Full bullish MTF alignment (4/4), 1h ADX 35 rising (+6.5 slope), choppiness 26 (trending), ER_10 0.77 — genuine clean bull impulse, HMM calm. 2. LEAN CHECK: Trend, flow, and momentum all point up — clear long lean; only caution is stretched extension. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: Trend-aligned long with confirming flow — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.46, agg_oi +7.4%), taker 1.16, top-trader pos ratio 1.55, funding only mildly positive so not yet crowded; price at 5d/20d/90d highs with net_move_12h +3.6%. 4. PRE-MORTEM: Price is very extended — RSI overbought on 1h/4h/15m (68-77), rolling z_20d +4.5, RV 95th percentile — a mean-reversion snapback on new-high exhaustion invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: Stop below the intraday breakout base at 581.5 (~1.8% risk, beyond the 4h EMA support and recent consolidation); stretch TP at 606.5 (~2.4% up, ~1.35x risk), a reachable extension given 24h avg traversal 0.8% but current vol elevated. 6. EXPECTATION: base rate on extended bull-trend longs here is modest, so temper win prob.
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