BNBUSD long — 2 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on BNBUSD entered at 587.89 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 591.73 with a price move of +0.65%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | BNBUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| Entry | 587.89 |
| Stop-loss | 578.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 596.341 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 601.975 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 591.73 |
| Realized P&L | +0.65% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: EMA stacks bull-aligned on 5m/1h/4h (15m mixed/overbought), 1h ADX 21.9 rising (+1.73 slope), choppiness 51 mid-range, Hurst 0.505 neutral, HMM calm — a modest, real uptrend but not powerful. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence leans long — trend-aligned EMA stack + top-trader position ratio 1.55 long-tilted + z_score +1.34 above mean, favors continuation over reversal. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long; price sits just under the 5d/20d/90d high (only -1.28% away) with rising ADX and top traders positioned long, so a breakout of that high is the natural continuation path. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI momentum is accelerating_DOWN (oi_change_recent_half -0.28%) and taker ratio 0.95 (mild sell pressure) plus 15m RSI 70 overbought — a rejection at the high that unwinds this thin OI would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 587.89; stop below the recent consolidation floor / prior support at 578.50 (~1.6% below, beyond intraday noise); stretch TP at 602.5, above the 90d high, ~2.5% up for R:R ~1.56. 6. EXPECTATION: BNB this-asset WR is poor (31%) and bull_trend regime WR only 33.8%, tempering odds; overbought 15m and fading OI cap upside — p_tp1 40, p_sl 39, p_expire 21.
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