BNBUSD long — 3 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on BNBUSD entered at 592.11 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 593.19 with a price move of +0.18%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | BNBUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Entry | 592.11 |
| Stop-loss | 583.8 |
| Take-profit 1 | 599.544 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 604.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.49 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 593.19 |
| Realized P&L | +0.18% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), 1h ADX 18.9 rising (+4.0 slope), choppiness 34.9 (trending), ER_10 0.75 clean recent path, Hurst 0.49 neutral, HMM calm — a genuine but modest bull impulse near the 5d/20d/90d high (-0.53%). 2. LEAN CHECK: Evidence leans long — trend-aligned with confirming OI and top-trader positioning; only the very-latest taker ratio (0.71) and stretched z (+1.61) give pause. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.07, oi_15m_z +2.07, agg_oi +1.09%) alongside full bull EMA stack and top-trader pos ratio 1.57 long — flow is confirming the push into range highs, and price sits at its 90d high with room to break out. 4. PRE-MORTEM: Failure to clear the 90d high (~595) with the last taker bucket 0.71 and rolling z +1.61 stretched risks a rejection/mean-revert back into range. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: Stop below the recent 1h consolidation shelf at 583.8 (below invalidation, ~1.4% risk); stretch TP at 604.5 (~2.1% run, ~1.5x risk) toward the next round-figure extension above a 90d-high breakout, reachable within 24h given avg_move_24h 1.21% plus trend momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: BNB bull_trend WR is soft (30.8%) and this asset's record is poor (29.4%), so I keep p_tp1 modest with real expire weight given tight recent whipsaw.
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