BNBUSD short — 5 Aug 2026 (expired)
This short on BNBUSD entered at 592.8442 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 591.28 with a price move of +0.26%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | BNBUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-05 22:52 |
| Entry | 592.8442 |
| Stop-loss | 599.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 588.9177 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 586.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 591.28 |
| Realized P&L | +0.26% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA stacks bull-aligned but mtf 0/4 (5m bear, 15m mixed), adx_1h 21.7 with negative slope (-2.6), choppiness 49 (borderline), ER_30 0.003 (nets nowhere), Hurst 0.45 (random walk) — a stalled bull drift now rolling over, HMM calm. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — near-term momentum has flipped down (net_move_4h -1.13%, 5m/15m RSI oversold 27-29 but bear-aligned) and OI is accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.10, oi_15m_z -2.00) as positions unwind. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the flow/OI cluster is the strongest — accelerating_down OI plus a fresh 4h leg lower (-1.13%) against fading 1h ADX signals the higher-TF drift is exhausting; however top-traders remain long (pos_ratio 1.49) and taker 0.78 shows sell pressure. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m/5m RSI is deeply oversold (27-29) and price sits only -1.75% off 5d/20d/90d high — a bounce reclaim of the 1h EMA stack would flip this back long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 592.84; stop_loss 599.10 above the recent swing/1h EMA reclaim zone (~1.06% risk, within rv range); take_profit_1 586.30, a stretch of ~1.10% (RR ~1.04) toward the 5d-low support band, reachable within 24h given avg_move_24h 1.23%. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold near-term tempers downside follow-through, so meaningful expire probability.
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