BTCUSD long — 1 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on BTCUSD entered at 63,089.6 and stopped out at 62,430 after 4 hours, closing at -1.05%.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Entry | 63,089.6 |
| Stop-loss | 62,430 |
| Take-profit 1 | 63,617.8 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 63,970 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 62,430 |
| Realized P&L | -1.05% |
| Time open | 4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed 0/4, ADX_1h 12.2 falling (slope -2.0), adx_20 11.8, choppiness 65.1, ER_10 0.02, Hurst 0.50 — this is dead low-vol chop, RV 24h in the 18th percentile, HMM calm. 2. LEAN CHECK: price sits at z_score -1.64 vs 20d mean and +0.67% off the 5d/20d/90d low with net_move_24h +0.67% (a small bounce), 4h/1h RSI depressed (40/45), funding z -1.03 and agg funding z -1.17 (funding washed out/negative) — a modest mean-reversion-up lean off an oversold extreme. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is the oversold reversion combo — rolling_z -1.64, sitting just above the 90d low, taker_buy_sell 1h 0.58 (recent selling flush), top-trader position ratio 1.56 still net long, negative/washed funding leaving little long crowding to punish; this favors a small bounce back toward the mid-range even though the higher TF is not cleanly bullish. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -0.72, oi_momentum accelerating_down, agg_oi_24h -0.74%) — if OI keeps bleeding and price loses the 5d low, the reversion fails and it grinds lower. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 63,090; stop below the 90d/5d low structure at 62,430 (~1.05% risk, beyond the +0.67% low); stretch TP at 63,970 (~1.4% reward, R:R ~1.33) toward the mid-range where 1h EMAs cap. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime with sub-50% WR and a thin reversion edge — modest odds, meaningful expire probability given dead vol.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.