BTCUSD long — 20 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on BTCUSD entered at 71,293 and hit its target at 72,245.2 after 1.8 hours, closing at +1.34%.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-20 08:26 |
| Entry | 71,293 |
| Stop-loss | 70,050 |
| Take-profit 1 | 72,245.2 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 72,880 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 72,245.2 |
| Realized P&L | +1.34% |
| Time open | 1.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish, all TFs EMA bull_aligned, ADX_1h 64 with +2.6 slope (extreme, strengthening trend), choppiness 38.2 (trending), ER_30 0.69 (clean one-way), Hurst 0.59 (persistence), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a powerful bull trend up +10.9% on the day. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, flow (oi_change +14.2%, agg OI +13.9%), funding building (z 1.68, agg_z 1.89) and top-trader pos ratio 1.52 all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow cluster — full bullish MTF stack with ADX 64 and expanding OI, taker 1.04 net-buy, positioned longs favor continuation of the impulse. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme exhaustion — RSI 81-88 all TFs, z-score +4.36, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d high, OI momentum decelerating; a sharp mean-reversion snap would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 71,293; stop below the recent breakout shelf at 70,050 (~1.74% risk, near the ~1.2% typical 24h traverse but justified by RV 90th pctile); stretch target 72,880 (~2.23%, R:R ~1.28x) toward next round extension, within clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but stretched, meaningful pullback risk and chop at highs.
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