BTCUSD long — 28 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on BTCUSD entered at 80,862.8 and stopped out at 79,180 after 8.4 hours, closing at -2.08%.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-28 01:38 |
| Entry | 80,862.8 |
| Stop-loss | 79,180 |
| Take-profit 1 | 81,905.1 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 82,600 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 79,180 |
| Realized P&L | -2.08% |
| Time open | 8.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish (all TFs EMA bull_aligned), 4h ADX 40.2 strong + 1h ADX 28.3 with +3.05 slope firming, choppiness 40.4 (edge of trending), ER_10 0.35/ER_30 0.38 (moderately clean), Hurst 0.52, HMM calm conf 1.0 — intact re-accelerating HTF bull trend at fresh 5d/20d/90d highs. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, momentum (net +0.95%/4h, +2.59%/24h), OI and flow all point up. 3. THESIS: strongest cluster is flow+OI — oi accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.55, oi_15m_z +1.75, agg_oi +5.5%), taker ratio 1.29 (buyers pressing), top-trader pos ratio 2.07 (heavily long), all trend-aligned with 4/4 bull MTF at new highs; funding still near-neutral (z 0.04) so no crowding brake. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits exactly at 5d/20d/90d high with RSI 65-70 across TFs and IV term inverted (7d>30d) — an exhaustion rejection off the highs invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent breakout shelf and 4h structure at 79,180 (~2.08% risk, ~1.5x atr aligned to 24h range); stretch target 82,520 (~2.05% reward), R:R ~0.99 → nudge target to 82,600 for R:R ≥1.0, an honest push into next resistance within 24h avg traversal of 3.0%. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned continuation with real flow, but stretched at highs — p_tp1 47, p_sl 34, p_expire 19.
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