BTCUSD short — 25 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on BTCUSD entered at 64,203.9 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 64,526 with a price move of -0.50%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-25 13:48 |
| Entry | 64,203.9 |
| Stop-loss | 65,050 |
| Take-profit 1 | 63,442.5 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 62,934.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 64,526 |
| Realized P&L | -0.50% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (2/4), 1h/15m EMA bear_aligned but 5m/4h mixed, ADX_1h 34.5 but slope -2.1 (fading), Hurst 0.48 mean-reverting, funding near-neutral (z -0.16), HMM calm — a fading bear/pullback drift within chop, not a clean trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence is genuinely conflicted — near-term flow (taker 0.72 sell-skewed, price -3.9% off 5d high, fear=27) leans bear, but top-trader position ratio 1.65 long and 5m RSI 80.2 overbought with OI z +1.04 building suggest a short-term bounce; the fading ADX and mean-reverting Hurst argue against a strong directional push. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: I lean short — the strongest cluster is 1h/15m bear EMA alignment plus dominant taker selling (0.72) and price rejected at 5d high, sitting just above the 5d low, consistent with the prior winning short in this same regime. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader longs 1.65 and rising OI could fuel a squeeze reclaim back above ~64,800 (recent 4h net +0.35% up), which would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 64,204; stop above the near-term rejection/OI-build zone at 65,050 (beyond ~1.3% invalidation); TP1 stretch at 62,900 targeting the 5d-low region, ~1.3% below vs ~1.32% risk → R:R ~0.99, widen TP to 62,850 for R:R ~1.05. 6. EXPECTATION: given low RV (24h pctile 15.8%) and weak/fading trend, meaningful expiry odds — p_tp1 44, p_sl 39, p_expire 17.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.