DOGEUSD long — 25 Jul 2026 (expired)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.073284 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 0.07326 with a price move of -0.03%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-25 17:48 |
| Entry | 0.073284 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07095 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.075385 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.076785 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 0.07326 |
| Realized P&L | -0.03% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h ADX 29.7 rising (+6.8 slope), choppiness 20.8 (strongly trending), ER_10 0.94 clean, +5.9%/24h with F&G Fear 27 — a sharp bullish thrust, but MTF is mixed (2/4) with 4h EMA still bear-aligned, so this is a fresh countertrend rip more than an established bull trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: the near-term momentum is decisively up (net +4.6% 4h, +5.5% 12h) and OI is accelerating_up with a massive oi_5m_z +3.52 confirming new money chasing the move — a long lean, though extended. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI momentum accelerating_up + oi_15m_z +3.2 + top_trader_pos_ratio 2.13 (heavily long) + taker 1.10 buy-skew — real fuel behind the breakout, and price sits right at the 5d/20d/90d high (-0.73%), a breakout regime. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply overbought across 5m/15m/1h (80-89) and z_score +0.96 with RV in the 84th pctile — a blow-off exhaustion reversal back below the prior consolidation would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.073284, stop below the breakout shelf at 0.07095 (~3.2% risk, beyond the overbought-unwind zone), stretch TP at 0.07695 (~5.0% up, R:R ~1.5) — reachable given 24h traversal and the accelerating OI. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought extension caps upside odds; p_tp1 41, p_sl 38, p_expire 21.
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