DOGEUSD long — 7 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.070084 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 0.07054 with a price move of +0.65%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-07 12:42 |
| Entry | 0.070084 |
| Stop-loss | 0.06905 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.070862 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07138 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 0.07054 |
| Realized P&L | +0.65% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment 0/4 mixed (5m bull, 15m mixed, 1h/4h bear), 1h ADX 17.8 (transitional, but slope +3.16 rising), ADX-20 13.6, choppiness 43.5 (borderline), ER-10 0.56 / ER-30 0.02, Hurst 0.28 (mean-reverting), HMM calm, RV at 25th pctile — soft chop/drift with a mild fresh up-tick. 2. LEAN CHECK: net moves are all positive (+0.92%/4h, +0.99%/12h, +1.74%/24h), 5m EMA bull-aligned, top-trader position ratio 2.96 (heavy long conviction), Fear 29 — the near-term momentum and positioning lean long even though 1h/4h EMA stacks are bear; a modest long lean exists. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh positive net moves plus a rising 1h ADX and a strongly long top-trader book (3.34 acct / 2.96 pos) support a continuation bounce off the 5d/20d low (+1.9%/+2.2% above); this is a counter-trend reclaim of near-term momentum, not the 1h/4h bear stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker buy/sell 0.875 (<1, sellers dominant) and agg OI -0.37% / oi_momentum accelerating_down — if OI keeps bleeding and sellers press, the 1h/4h bear structure reasserts and this rolls over. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.070084; stop below the recent swing / near the 5d-low zone at 0.069050 (~1.48% risk, within ~0.6x of the 2.6% 7d range); stretch TP at 0.071380 (~1.85% reward, R:R ~1.25x, inside 1.5x and 4% clamps) targeting the 5d-high area (-1.14% above). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum is real but thin against a bear HTF stack in chop — p_tp1 44, p_sl 37, p_expire 19.
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