DOGEUSD long — 15 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.07036 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 0.0698 with a price move of -0.80%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-15 02:28 |
| Entry | 0.07036 |
| Stop-loss | 0.06947 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.07105 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07151 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.29 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 0.0698 |
| Realized P&L | -0.80% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m bull, 15m mixed, 1h/4h bear-aligned; alignment 0/4), 1h ADX 12.7 with -1.9 slope (fading, deep sub-20 chop), ER-30 0.05 and choppiness 47.3, Hurst 0.43 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 100% — low-vol chop with a fresh short-TF upside impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is positive (+0.86%/4h, +1.28%/12h), taker ratio 0.75 is soft but OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.32, agg_oi +2.35%) and top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 3.13) — modest long lean off the fresh push. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — accelerating_up OI with a fresh +0.86%/4h net move and top-trader position ratio 3.13 leaning long, price sitting near 5d-low (+1.7%) with room; this is a bounce impulse in chop, not a confirmed trend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h EMA stacks are bear-aligned and taker ratio is sub-1 (0.75, sellers active) — if the short-TF push fades, price rolls back under the 1h stack and the long fails. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.070360; stop below the recent swing/impulse origin at 0.069470 (~1.26% risk, within the ~2.6% ADR); take_profit_1 stretch at 0.071510 (~1.63% reward, R:R ~1.3), a structural level toward the 5d-high (which sits ~2.9% above), reachable within 24h given 1.14% typical 24h traversal but supported by momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with faint long tilt — modest edge, high expire risk.
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