DOGEUSD long — 17 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.070049 and hit its target at 0.070541 after 4.5 hours, closing at +0.70%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-17 02:28 |
| Entry | 0.070049 |
| Stop-loss | 0.069281 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.070541 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.070869 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.07 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.070541 |
| Realized P&L | +0.70% |
| Time open | 4.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m/15m mixed, 1h/4h bear-aligned; alignment 0/4), 1h ADX 19 with -1.3 slope (sub-20, fading), ER-10 0.02/ER-30 0.03 and choppiness 38.9, Hurst 0.42 (mean-reverting), HMM calm at 100% posterior — dead low-vol chop with a faint bear tilt on the higher TFs. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence is genuinely two-sided but leans slightly long near-term — net +0.70%/4h fresh upside, taker ratio 1.16 (buyers), top-trader position ratio 3.16 heavily long and building (+0.05 fast, +0.04 slow), yet 1h/4h EMA stacks are bear-aligned and OI is collapsing (oi_5m_z -3.17, accelerating_down) — a mild long lean via flow and top-trader positioning against a weak bearish HTF. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: near-term momentum + positioning cluster favors long — fresh +0.70% 4h push, taker buying, top-traders 3.6:1 long and adding — trend-neutral/counter to a weak 1h/4h bear stack, so keep this thin. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is bleeding hard (accelerating_down, agg -1.29%) — if this is a low-conviction bounce into supply near the 5d high (-3% away) it fades and the bear-aligned HTF reasserts. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent consolidation floor / near 20d-low proximity at 0.069281 (~1.1% risk, within the ~2.6% avg daily range); stretch target 0.070869 (~1.17% reward, R:R ~1.05) into the sub-5d-high supply. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime with a thin flow lean and a countervailing HTF, so meaningful expire weight.
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