DOGEUSD long — 20 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.077885 and hit its target at 0.079086 after 40 minutes, closing at +1.54%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-20 14:26 |
| Entry | 0.077885 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07655 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.079086 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.079887 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.079086 |
| Realized P&L | +1.54% |
| Time open | 40 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 60 with +1.5 slope (very strong trend, plateauing near peak), ER-10 0.78 / choppiness 45 (moderately-clean trending), Hurst 0.58, HMM calm — a powerful upside impulse, deeply extended. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly long tape — net +9.2%/24h, +3.1%/12h, sitting AT 5d/20d/90d high (+0.000), OI +7.9%/24h with oi_5m_z +1.30, top-trader pos ratio 3.19 all long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-alignment cluster is dominant — full MTF stack + ADX 60 + fresh HTF highs + long-side flow; this asset has printed repeat trend-continuation wins in the same regime. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 78 / 4h RSI 87 with rolling z +4.0 and RV 24h at 97th pctile — extreme overextension; oi_momentum decelerating and taker 1h 0.96 (buyers just fading) means a sharp mean-reversion pullback could hit stop before continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.077885; stop below the last intraday shelf at 0.07655 (~1.72% risk, ~1x the elevated realized range); stretch target 0.079980 (~2.69% / ~1.5x risk toward measured continuation, inside 4% clamp). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but extreme overbought raises pullback odds — p_tp1 46, p_sl 34, p_expire 20.
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