DOGEUSD long — 20 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.080529 and hit its target at 0.082132 after 6.6 hours, closing at +1.99%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-20 18:41 |
| Entry | 0.080529 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07845 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.082132 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0832 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.082132 |
| Realized P&L | +1.99% |
| Time open | 6.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 63 with +1.9 slope (very strong, still-strengthening trend), ER-30 0.47 / choppiness 29 (moderately-clean trending), Hurst ~0.50, HMM calm 100% — powerful uptrend but deeply extended (z-score +4.1, RV 24h 100th pctile). 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly long tape — net +10.6%/24h, +2.5%/4h, sitting just -3.35% off the 5d/20d/90d high, OI +12.5%/24h with oi_15m_z +1.35 accelerating_up, top-trader pos ratio 3.13 — everything points up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+flow confluence — full MTF bull stack with 63 ADX plus accelerating OI and strong top-trader long positioning, all trend-aligned; asset is pulled back 3.35% from the recent high leaving room to retest it. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme extension (4h RSI 90.5, z +4.1, RV 100th pctile) plus fading top-trader ratio (4h chg -0.062) and taker 1h 0.89 <1 (recent selling) — a mean-reversion flush would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.080529; stop below the 4h EMA/recent swing at 0.07845 (~2.6% risk, within the ~4% p90 daily range given elevated RV); stretch TP toward retest of the 5d high area at 0.08320 (~3.3% up, R:R ~1.27, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but overbought extension and sub-1 taker raise reversal/expire odds.
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