DOGEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.084839 and hit its target at 0.086706 after 11.9 hours, closing at +2.20%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 08:41 |
| Entry | 0.084839 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08245 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.086706 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08795 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.086706 |
| Realized P&L | +2.20% |
| Time open | 11.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 50.5 with +0.88 slope (powerful trend, still edging up), ER-10 0.71 / choppiness 38.4 (moderately clean), Hurst 0.52, HMM calm 99.9% — a strong uptrend that is deeply extended (z +3.77, RV-24h 95th pctile, 4h RSI 90.4, all TFs overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: unambiguously long tape — net +10.4%/24h, +3.0%/4h, sitting AT the 5d/20d/90d high (+0.000), OI accelerating_up (5m z +2.43, agg OI +7.9%/24h). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + OI cluster — full bullish MTF stack with rising ADX plus accelerating OI and top-trader pos ratio 3.17 (long-heavy) confirms real capital chasing the breakout; DOGE track record is 64.6% wr and same-regime recent longs are 4/5 winners. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme extension (4h RSI 90, z +3.77) plus taker 1h ratio 0.93 (mild net selling into the highs) and softening top-trader pos ratio (4h chg -0.25) means a mean-reversion flush could hit the stop before the next leg. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry at mark 0.084839; stop below the last intraday consolidation shelf at 0.08245 (~2.8% risk, ~0.6x the 24h RV / within atr context for a vertical mover); stretch TP at 0.08795 (~3.7% / ~1.3x stop distance, R:R ~1.3), a reachable extension of the high given 24h traversal averages 2.2% but current momentum is 4x that. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but extension caps upside odds.
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