DOGEUSD long — 24 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.090922 and stopped out at 0.08895 after 20 minutes, closing at -2.17%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-24 17:09 |
| Entry | 0.090922 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08895 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.092409 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0934 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08895 |
| Realized P&L | -2.17% |
| Time open | 20 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 0/4 (5m/15m bear, 1h/4h bull), 4h ADX 46 strong-up but 1h ADX 9.8 slope -0.26 (chop-grade), ER-10 0.05 / ER-30 0.10 / choppiness 72.6 (path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.8% — a strong 4h uptrend deeply stalled into chop_high_vol (z +1.20, RV-24h 92nd pctile). 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided — near-term momentum is down (net -1.91%/24h, -1.17%/12h, OI accelerating_down oi_5m_z -2.14) yet 4h structure + top-trader ratios lean bull; the tiebreak is the durable top-trader position ratio 4.75 and 4h bull EMA stack. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 1h/4h bull EMA stack with 4h ADX 46, top-trader pos ratio 4.75 / account ratio 3.66 heavily long and holding (4h chg +0.024), and this asset's own recent chop-regime longs won repeatedly; the 24h dip into z +1.20 with mean-reverting Hurst is a pullback within an intact 4h uptrend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.14, agg OI -4.18%/24h) plus 5m/15m bear stacks mean the pullback keeps extending and 0.0900 support fails, flipping this to a genuine breakdown. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.090922; stop 0.088950 below the recent swing/round support (~2.17% risk, within ~half the ~10% 7d range and near atr scale); TP1 stretch 0.093400 (~2.72% up, R:R ~1.25) at the 5d-high shelf area the 4h trend points back toward, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: honest pullback-buy in chop with fresh downside — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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