DOGEUSD long — 4 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.085733 and stopped out at 0.08405 after 2.2 hours, closing at -1.96%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-04 12:33 |
| Entry | 0.085733 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08405 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.087153 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0881 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.41 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08405 |
| Realized P&L | -1.96% |
| Time open | 2.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 (5m bear, 15m/1h/4h bull_aligned), 1h ADX 23.7 slope -0.85 (trend fading), ER-10 0.48 / ER-30 0.16 / choppiness 42 (mild directional but noisy), Hurst 0.47, HMM calm 99.95% — a bull-tilted but decelerating tape, net +2.7%/24h yet -2.5%/4h and -1.8%/12h (recent pullback). 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — HTF EMA stack bull-aligned on 15m/1h/4h, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 3.28), funding mildly positive, but near-term momentum is down and OI is accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.50), so two clusters cut opposite ways; the trend-aligned + oversold-bounce case narrowly wins. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend alignment (bull EMA stacks 15m→4h) combined with a fresh oversold reset (5m RSI 21, 15m RSI 27) after a -2.5% 4h flush into 5d-low support (+5.85% above 5d low, -4.5% below high) — a dip within an uptrend that top-traders keep buying. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI accelerating_down + funding_momentum unwinding while price falls means the bounce fails and the 12h/4h downtrend continues; a break below the recent swing invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.085733; stop below the flush low at 0.08405 (~1.96% risk, within the ~4.7% avg daily range); take_profit_1 stretch at 0.08810 (~2.76% up, R:R ~1.4) — a reclaim of the pre-flush 1h structure, reachable within 24h given 2.5% avg 24h traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: elevated RV and mixed flow keep this uncertain; p_tp1 44, p_sl 39, p_expire 17.
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