DOGEUSD long — 7 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.091264 and stopped out at 0.08965 after 2.1 hours, closing at -1.77%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-07 13:10 |
| Entry | 0.091264 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08965 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.092717 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.093685 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08965 |
| Realized P&L | -1.77% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish with all TFs EMA bull_aligned, but 1h ADX only 15.1 (slope +0.16, barely trending), ER-30 0.026 (path nets nowhere longer-horizon), choppiness 54.4 (neither), Hurst 0.47 (mildly mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.96% — a bull-structured tape but weak/transitional, not an impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — bull EMA stack + net +2.2%/4h momentum + taker 1.66 buy-skew + top-trader pos ratio 3.53 all point up; no clean short case. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow — taker_buy_sell 1.66 (latest bucket), agg_oi_24h +1.57% with OI z +1.06, top-trader positioning heavily long (3.53), all trend-aligned with the bull EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is z +1.83 extended and only -3.2% from 5d/20d/90d high with 15m RSI 71.5 overbought — a rejection at the high flushes it back down. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the near-term structure at 0.08965 (~1.8% risk, ~0.5x rv_24h daily range, beyond the reclaim base); stretch TP at 0.09372 (~2.3% up, R:R ~1.25, inside clamps) targeting a retest of the 5d high zone near -3.2% distance. 6. EXPECTATION: extended into resistance with weak ADX tempers upside conviction; p_tp1 43, p_sl 37, p_expire 20.
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