DOGEUSD long — 8 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.091152 and stopped out at 0.08895 after 7.1 hours, closing at -2.42%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-08 01:03 |
| Entry | 0.091152 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08895 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.092711 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09375 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08895 |
| Realized P&L | -2.42% |
| Time open | 7.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish (all TFs EMA bull_aligned), but 1h ADX only 10.1 slope -0.72 (chop/fading), ER-10 0.57 vs ER-30 0.11 (nets nowhere longer), choppiness 56.6 (leaning choppy), Hurst 0.46 (mildly mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.97% — a bull-structured HTF tape stalled in near-term chop, price z +1.61 (extended). 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — bull EMA stack + strong OI accel (oi 15m z +4.1, momentum accelerating_up) + top-trader pos ratio 3.42 heavily long + taker 1.55 buy-tilt; leans long despite thin ADX. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow+OI+positioning — OI +4.2%/24h accelerating with top-traders 3.4x long and taker buy ratio 1.55, aligned with the bull EMA stack across all four TFs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price z +1.6 and 3.4% below 5d/20d/90d high with fading ADX and 90-day-percentile RV means an exhaustion rollover from extension would invalidate; a break below the 1h consolidation floor kills it. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.091152; stop below near-term structure at 0.088950 (~2.4% risk, ~0.8x the 2.99% typical 24h traversal); stretch TP at 0.093750 (~2.85% reward, R:R ~1.18, inside clamps) targeting the 5d/20d high overhead near 0.0943. 6. EXPECTATION: extended + choppy + fading ADX tempers upside; p_tp1 42, p_sl 37, p_expire 21.
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