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DOGEUSD long — 19 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.090451 and stopped out at 0.08895 after 2.7 hours, closing at -1.66%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-19 17:27 |
| Entry | 0.090451 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08895 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.091608 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09238 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.29 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08895 |
| Realized P&L | -1.66% |
| Time open | 2.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF (4/4), 1h ADX 39.6 slope +1.75 (strong, still firming), ER-10 0.87 (very clean near-term) / ER-30 0.42, choppiness 40.4 (trending edge), Hurst 0.50 neutral, HMM calm 99.98% — a strong, clean up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — +3.24% 24h, +1.66% 4h, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d high (+0.00 off, +14.4% off lows), OI accelerating_up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow confluence — full bull EMA stack across all TFs, OI accelerating up (oi_15m_z +3.6, oi_5m_z +2.9, agg OI +5.4%) with taker buy ratio 1.18 and long liq share only 0.15, top-trader position ratio 3.58 all lean long alongside the fresh breakout to new highs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h RSI both overbought (75.6/74.5) and rolling z +2.75 — an exhaustion pullback below the breakout base would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.090451; stop 0.088950 below the intraday breakout structure (~1.66% risk, within ~1x the 43% RV daily range); stretch TP 0.092380 at ~1.28x risk (2.13% out), a reachable extension given 2.33% typical 24h traversal and momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought + high z caps upside follow-through, so a meaningful chance of pullback-to-stop and expiry.
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