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DOGEUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.093369 and hit its target at 0.095338 after 3.8 hours, closing at +2.11%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 11:08 |
| Entry | 0.093369 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09075 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.095338 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09665 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.095338 |
| Realized P&L | +2.11% |
| Time open | 3.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 39.8 slope +7.98 (strong trend firming hard), ER-10 0.96 (very clean one-way), choppiness 32.8 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.56 mild-persistent, HMM calm 99.97% — a cleanly bull-stacked, accelerating up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net +3.88% 4h, +6.88% 12h, +9.54% 24h momentum all strongly positive; OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.10, oi_15m_z +3.06, agg OI +11.4%), top-trader pos ratio 3.24 heavily long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: three confirming clusters — (a) 4/4 HTF trend with firming ADX, (b) fresh OI accelerating up with taker ratio >1 and +9.5% 24h price, (c) 20d/90d high +0.000 (breaking to new highs). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 79 / 4h RSI 74 overbought + z-score +3.0 + RV pctile 99% — deeply stretched, so a sharp mean-reversion pullback would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.093369; stop below the 1h break structure at 0.09075 (~2.8% risk, within the ~5.6% avg daily range given elevated RV); stretch TP at 0.09665 (~3.5% reward, R:R ~1.26, inside 4% clamp, reachable given 24h avg traversal 2.78% and current +9.5% momentum). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought/stretched tempers the edge.
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