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DOGEUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.097431 and hit its target at 0.099272 after 2.4 hours, closing at +1.89%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 15:53 |
| Entry | 0.097431 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0949 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.099272 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.1005 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.099272 |
| Realized P&L | +1.89% |
| Time open | 2.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 49.7 slope +7.38 (very strong trend firming hard), ER-10 0.95 (extremely clean one-way), choppiness 29 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.58 persistent, HMM calm 99.97% — cleanly bull-stacked, accelerating up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net +4.26% 4h, +9.98% 12h, +13.33% 24h all strongly positive; OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.17, oi_15m_z +3.25), agg OI +18% — fresh money chasing the move. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow + positioning all aligned long — top-trader pos ratio 3.57 (rising +0.32 over 4h), taker buy/sell 1.11, funding only mildly elevated (z +0.87, not extreme) so the up-leg isn't yet crowded-long exhausted. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is stretched (1h 85.9, 4h 80.2 overbought) and z-score +3.88 vs 20d mean, price at 5d/20d/90d high — a mean-reversion pullback of a few % would hit stop before continuation; this is the real risk on a +13% day. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.097431; stop below the recent breakout shelf / prior consolidation at 0.09490 (~2.6% risk, within the 6.2% 7d range and RV); take_profit_1 stretch 0.10050 (~2.6% reward, R:R ~1.0), an honest continuation extension reachable given atr_pct 1.58/1h and 24h traversal ~3%, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extended/overbought caps p_tp1; distribution below.
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