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DOGEUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.092117 and hit its target at 0.093817 after 1.2 hours, closing at +1.85%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 08:38 |
| Entry | 0.092117 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08985 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.093817 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09495 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.093817 |
| Realized P&L | +1.85% |
| Time open | 1.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 31.7 slope +4.46 (genuine trend, firming), ER-10 0.60 / ER-30 0.44 clean, choppiness 38 (trending edge), Hurst 0.57 mild-persistent, HMM calm 99.97% — a cleanly bull-stacked, firming up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net +4.19% 4h, +5.51% 12h, +8.55% 24h momentum all strongly positive; OI +8.97% agg / +4.6x oi_5m_z, taker 1.12; long-favored. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow confluence — full 4/4 bull EMA stack with firming ADX and OI building into the move (oi_5m_z +4.6, agg_oi +8.97%), price pinned at all extrema highs (0.0% from 5d/20d/90d highs); this is a trend-aligned continuation, not a fade. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across all TFs (75-78), rolling z +2.79, RV at 100th pctile, top-trader pos ratio 3.5 with negative delta (-0.099 4h) — a crowded, stretched long that could snap back sharply; a loss of the 4h EMA momentum invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.092117; stop below near-term structure at 0.08985 (~2.46% risk, ~1x 24h RV/ADR); stretch TP at 0.09495 (~3.08% reward, R:R ~1.25, inside 4% clamp) at a modest new-high extension reachable given 2.65% typical 24h traversal plus momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought/stretched tempers p_tp1; base rate on this asset is coin-flip (50% wr) so keep humble.
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