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DOGEUSD long — 30 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.095599 and stopped out at 0.09385 after 2.3 hours, closing at -1.83%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-30 16:20 |
| Entry | 0.095599 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09385 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.09707 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09805 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.40 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09385 |
| Realized P&L | -1.83% |
| Time open | 2.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m mixed / 15m bull / 1h mixed / 4h bull (alignment 2/4, mtf mixed, transitional); 1h ADX 19.7 slope +0.2 (chop just off floor), ER-10 0.33 / ER-30 0.03 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 47 mid, Hurst 0.43 near-random, HMM calm 99.98% — a choppy/transitional structure with a mild higher-TF bull tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — top-trader pos ratio 4.04 and account ratio 3.36 heavily long-biased, OI accelerating_up (+2.0% agg 24h, oi 15m z +0.59), agg funding z +0.99 — flow and positioning both tilt up despite a soft -1.85% 4h dip. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 15m/4h EMA bull stack plus persistently long top-traders and accelerating OI into a shallow pullback (mark sits +3.5% off 5d low, -3.9% below 5d high, room to reclaim); this exact configuration won three of the last DOGE longs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the -1.85% net_move_4h is fresh downside and taker ratio 0.83 shows sellers currently pressing — if the 5d-low support at ~0.0923 breaks, the long is dead. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.095599; stop 0.09385 just under recent swing/near the 5d-low zone (~1.8% risk, ~0.5x the 5.3% daily range, sane); stretch TP 0.09805 at the 5d-high approach (~2.1% up, R:R ~1.17, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: choppy tape with soft momentum but supportive flow — modest edge, meaningful expire risk.
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