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DOGEUSD long — 30 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.096261 and stopped out at 0.09505 after 32 minutes, closing at -1.26%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-30 13:50 |
| Entry | 0.096261 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09505 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.097154 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09775 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09505 |
| Realized P&L | -1.26% |
| Time open | 32 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/4h EMA bull, 1h mixed (alignment 4/4 counter mtf mixed), 1h ADX 19.5 slope +5.6 (rising off chop floor), ER-10 0.38 / ER-30 0.07 (choppy longer path but recent leg cleaner), choppiness 42.4 mid-leaning-trend, Hurst 0.45 near-random, HMM calm 99.98% — transitional structure with fresh upside momentum building. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net +1.97% 4h, +2.27% 12h, rising 1h ADX and OI accelerating up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/positioning — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.36, recent-half OI +2.34%), top-trader position ratio 3.89 (delta +0.18, 4h chg +0.86) heavily long and building, taker 1.1251 buy-tilted, and fresh 4h/12h momentum all trend-aligned with the 5m/15m/4h bull EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a rejection back below the 1h EMA cluster (~0.0952) would confirm the 1h mixed read wins and momentum fades. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.096261, stop 0.09505 (below recent structure/1h EMA, ~1.26% risk ≈ 0.5x rv_24h realized range), TP 0.09775 stretch (~1.55% reward, R:R ~1.23, inside clamps, reachable given avg 12h traversal 2.0%). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum + positioning favor upside but chop base-rate and expired risk keep it modest.
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