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DOGEUSD long — 1 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.095785 and stopped out at 0.09412 after 4.4 hours, closing at -1.74%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-01 03:50 |
| Entry | 0.095785 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09412 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.097042 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09788 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09412 |
| Realized P&L | -1.74% |
| Time open | 4.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/1h EMA mixed, 15m/4h bull; 1h ADX 14.5 slope +1.1 (chop floor), ER-10 0.47 / ER-30 0.11 (recent leg modestly cleaner but path nets nowhere), choppiness 56 mid-leaning-range, Hurst 0.45 near-random, HMM calm 99.98% — choppy/transitional with a mild higher-TF bull tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — net +1.24% 4h, +2.47% 24h, agg OI +17.8% building into the up-move, top-trader pos ratio 4.06; not two-sided enough to abstain. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long via rising agg OI (+17.8%) on a positive 24h move with 15m/4h bull stacks and a strongly long top-trader cohort (pos ratio 4.06) — flow + positioning both tilt up. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker ratio 0.984 (sub-1), Binance OI momentum accelerating_down, top-trader ratio fading (4h chg -0.14), and the same chop regime has lost its last 3 longs — a rejection back under 0.0945 kills it. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.095785; stop 0.09412 below the 5d-low cushion / recent structure (~1.74%, within rv_24h ~2.6% 24h traversal); stretch TP 0.09788 (~2.1%, ~1.2x stop distance, under the 5d high at -3.07%). 6. EXPECTATION: choppy transitional tape with modest long edge but a weak chop-regime base rate.
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