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DOGEUSD long — 28 Oct 2026 (stopped out)

This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.080039 and stopped out at 0.07902 after 5.4 hours, closing at -1.27%.

AssetDOGEUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-10-28 20:12
Entry0.080039
Stop-loss0.07902
Take-profit 10.080832
Take-profit 2 (stretch)0.08136
Reward:risk at entry1.30
Outcomestopped out
Close price0.07902
Realized P&L-1.27%
Time open5.4 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 mixed (5m mixed, 15m bull, 1h mixed, 4h bear), 1h ADX 31.6 but slope -2.87 (strong yet fading), choppiness 50.9 (neutral), ER-10 0.11 / ER-30 0.31 (noisy path netting little), Hurst 0.53 mild persistence, HMM calm 99.99%, RV 24h in 25th percentile (compressed) — a fading-trend, low-vol chop regime with a mild lower-TF up-tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — net +1.01%/4h and +2.08%/24h positive, taker 1.25 buy-tilted, top-trader pos ratio 3.35 heavily long, funding mildly positive and building; 12h net slightly negative is the only drag. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned-ish long — fresh 4h impulse (+1.01%/4h), buy-side taker flow, and extreme top-trader long positioning (3.35) with price only -0.66% off the 5d high argues for continuation of the intraday bounce. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI momentum is accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -0.32, recent-half -1.2%) — a rising price on falling OI is a thin squeeze that can fade fast, invalidating if it loses the 0.0792 recent base. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.080039; stop 0.07902 below the intraday base and 5d-low structure (~1.27% / within the 3.8% 7d range); TP1 stretch 0.08136 (~1.65% move, ~1.3x stop distance, inside clamps) near the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: compressed vol + fading ADX + falling OI cap conviction; p_tp1 42, p_sl 35, p_expire 23.

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